Pan-Baltic Survey Finds 2/3 Link Rail Baltica to Military Mobility

A December 2025 pan-Baltic public opinion survey indicates that regional security considerations are a primary driver of support for the Rail Baltica project. The survey, which sampled 3,016 internet users aged 18-75 across the Baltic states, found that a significant majority view the infrastructure as a critical component of military logistics and defense readiness. This perception is reinforced by wider geopolitical events, including Russia’s targeting of Ukrainian rail networks and EU-level strategic planning.

The data reveals that two-thirds of the population believe Rail Baltica’s primary role is linked to military mobility, viewing the corridor as important for national security. Between 66% and 85% of respondents agree that the project would directly improve NATO’s capacity to move troops and equipment within the region. This sentiment is statistically more pronounced among male respondents and those in the 66-to-75 age demographic, who see a direct correlation between transport capacity and defense posture.

Demographic analysis shows a divergence in rationale for support. Respondents aged 18 to 24 connect their backing of the project more to long-term socio-economic factors. For this younger group, key benefits include enhanced personal mobility, increased tourism, and deeper integration with the European transport network. While security is a less dominant factor for them, their overall awareness and positive attitude toward the project remain comparable to the general population.

Overall public sentiment is positive, with more than 60% of citizens aware of the project expressing a positive or very positive attitude. Support is strongest among individuals with higher education and higher incomes. More than half of all respondents believe Rail Baltica’s benefits outweigh its disadvantages. Many also expressed an understanding of the project’s cost increases, viewing it as a long-term investment for the well-being of future generations.

Despite high awareness levels, with 68% to 76% of people feeling at least somewhat informed, there is a clear demand for greater transparency. Between a quarter and a third of participants stated that the volume of available information should be increased. Specific areas of concern include implementation deadlines, construction progress reports, detailed national benefits, financial data, and the status of cross-border coordination at the Baltic regional level.

The survey’s findings align with strategic initiatives, such as the European Union’s plan to establish a Military Mobility Transport Group to facilitate efficient military logistics. The public’s security concerns reflect the operational reality seen in Ukraine, where rail infrastructure has become a primary target, underscoring the strategic value of resilient transport corridors.

Public opinion provides a dual mandate for Rail Baltica’s completion, anchored in both security imperatives and expectations of economic benefit. The project’s continued justification appears contingent on satisfying public demand for greater transparency regarding its execution and financial management.